Brazil Results

Synthetic Controls

Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.85 (0.75, 1.04)
1 0.77 (0.67, 0.82)
2 0.77 (0.72, 0.87)
3 0.78 (0.72, 0.87)
4 0.8 (0.68, 0.9)
5 0.81 (0.72, 0.91)
6 0.94 (0.78, 1.11)
7 0.99 (0.91, 1.42)
8 0.97 (0.84, 1.16)
9 0.75 (0.72, 0.92)

ITS

ITS Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.86 (0.74, 1)
1 0.72 (0.61, 0.83)
2 0.77 (0.66, 0.9)
3 0.85 (0.78, 0.9)
4 0.8 (0.72, 0.85)
5 0.86 (0.79, 0.94)
6 0.98 (0.91, 1.05)
7 1.02 (0.88, 1.15)
8 0.99 (0.9, 1.09)
9 0.77 (0.67, 0.83)

STL+PCA

STL+PCA Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.85 (0.76, 1.05)
1 0.78 (0.71, 0.89)
2 0.77 (0.67, 0.85)
3 0.76 (0.71, 0.88)
4 0.76 (0.71, 0.85)
5 0.82 (0.75, 0.9)
6 0.84 (0.76, 0.93)
7 0.96 (0.87, 1.05)
8 0.98 (0.91, 1.07)
9 0.78 (0.72, 0.89)

Inclusion Probabilities

Group Greatest Inclusion Variable Greatest Inclusion Probability Second Greatest Inclusion Variable Second Greatest Inclusion Probability Third Greatest Inclusion Variable Third Greatest Inclusion Probability
0 E00_99 1.0000000 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 ach_noj 0.4920292
1 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 E40_46 0.9150696 K00_99 0.2693739
2 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 E40_46 1.0000000 N39 0.3180010
3 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 K00_99 0.6411125 L00_99 0.5736290
4 pandemic 1.0000000 P00_99 0.5550961 E00_99 0.5502998
5 pandemic 1.0000000 A41 1.0000000 I00_99 0.9374439
6 pandemic 1.0000000 L00_99 0.6209211 Z00_99 0.5467494
7 cJ20_J22 0.9999832 I60_64 0.9344976 P00_99 0.2246365
8 A41 0.9003578 I00_99 0.3034559 I60_64 0.2767511
9 E40_46 1.0000000 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 A10_B99_nopneumo 0.1863200

Weight Sensitivity Analysis

Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 1 Inclusion Probability of Control 1 Control 1 Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 2 Inclusion Probability of Control 2 Control 2 Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 3 Inclusion Probability of Control 3 Control 3 Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.85 (0.75, 1.04) cJ20_J22 1 0.87 (0.7, 1.11) E00_99 1 0.9 (0.69, 1.11) M00_99 0.31 0.9 (0.73, 1.15)
1 0.77 (0.67, 0.82) cJ20_J22 1 0.75 (0.7, 0.85) E40_46 0.92 0.76 (0.69, 0.88) K00_99 0.27 0.76 (0.7, 0.97)
2 0.77 (0.72, 0.87) cJ20_J22 1 0.8 (0.72, 0.96) E40_46 1 0.81 (0.72, 0.96) N39 0.32 0.81 (0.68, 0.93)
3 0.78 (0.72, 0.87) cJ20_J22 1 0.8 (0.73, 0.88) K00_99 0.64 0.75 (0.69, 1.01) L00_99 0.57 0.76 (0.71, 0.86)
4 0.8 (0.68, 0.9) pandemic 1 0.76 (0.6, 0.89) P00_99 0.56 0.7 (0.54, 0.81) E00_99 0.55 0.74 (0.61, 0.83)
5 0.81 (0.72, 0.91) pandemic 1 0.64 (0.55, 0.84) A41 1 0.76 (0.67, 0.88) I00_99 0.94 0.75 (0.62, 0.92)
6 0.94 (0.78, 1.11) pandemic 1 0.85 (0.71, 0.96) L00_99 0.62 1.01 (0.64, 1.15) Z00_99 0.55 0.97 (0.74, 1.11)
7 0.99 (0.91, 1.42) cJ20_J22 1 1.14 (0.99, 1.39) I60_64 0.93 0.92 (0.76, 1.49) P00_99 0.22 0.9 (0.81, 1.43)
8 0.97 (0.84, 1.16) A41 0.9 1.03 (0.91, 1.2) I00_99 0.3 1.02 (0.89, 1.15) I60_64 0.28 1 (0.88, 1.18)
9 0.75 (0.72, 0.92) cJ20_J22 1 0.83 (0.7, 0.99) E40_46 1 0.73 (0.65, 0.83) A10_B99_nopneumo 0.19 0.8 (0.73, 0.93)

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